What is actually happening in Preventable Deaths?

How many people die of preventable causes?

Avoidable mortality has fallen 27% since 2010 to 218 per 100,000 — one of the NHS’s quiet success stories. But the gap between London (166) and the North East (276) means preventable deaths are 66% more common in the poorest regions.

Avoidable mortality — deaths preventable through timely healthcare or public health action — has fallen 27% in England since 2010, from 293 to 218 per 100,000, one of the NHS’s most sustained improvements.[1] The primary driver has been cardiovascular disease: sharply lower deaths from ischaemic heart disease and stroke, driven by better statin prescribing, improved hypertension management, the smoking ban, and advances in acute cardiac treatment. Cancer survival improvements, particularly for breast, bowel, and prostate cancer, contributed further. COVID-19 interrupted the trend — avoidable mortality rose to 243 in 2020 before falling to 218 in 2021 — and whether the pre-pandemic trajectory resumes remains uncertain. Smoking still kills 74,600 people a year, drug misuse deaths have more than doubled since 2012, and obesity-related conditions are growing as cardiovascular gains plateau.[3]

The regional picture is troubling and has not improved. Avoidable mortality in the North East (276 per 100,000) is 66% higher than in London (166) — a gap reflecting accumulated disadvantage in deprivation, industrial legacy, healthcare access, and smoking and obesity rates.[2] The North East, Yorkshire, and North West all sit substantially above the England average. These are not primarily NHS failures: they require coordinated action across housing, employment, welfare, and public health infrastructure — areas where investment has been cut most sharply in the regions where health need is greatest.

27% fewer preventable deaths since 2010

−27%

Avoidable mortality has fallen significantly since 2010, driven by better treatment of cardiovascular disease, improved cancer survival, and reduced smoking rates. This represents one of the NHS’s most sustained improvements — thousands of people alive today who would not have survived under 2010 care standards.

ONS Avoidable Mortality in the UK, 2021

Avoidable mortality rate, England, 2010–2021

Deaths considered avoidable given timely healthcare and public health interventions. Age-standardised rate per 100,000 population.

Source: ONS, Avoidable Mortality in the UK, Updated annual

Avoidable mortality by region, 2021

Age-standardised avoidable mortality rate per 100,000. North-South gradient clearly visible.

Source: ONS — Avoidable Mortality in the UK, 2021 release

  1. [1]ONSAvoidable Mortality in the UK, 2021. Avoidable mortality fell 27% since 2010 from 293 to 218 per 100,000
  2. [2]ONSAvoidable Mortality — Regional Breakdown, 2021. North East (276/100k) is 66% higher than London (166/100k)
  3. [3]ONSDeaths Related to Drug Poisoning, 2023. Drug misuse deaths more than doubled since 2012; smoking kills 74,600/yr

Sources & Methodology

ONS — Avoidable mortality in the UK. Published annually. ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/causesofdeath/bulletins/avoidablemortalityinenglandandwales

Avoidable mortality is defined using the ONS/Eurostat list of avoidable causes of death. It comprises “preventable” mortality (deaths amenable to primary prevention, such as lung cancer or road injuries) and “amenable” mortality (deaths amenable to healthcare, such as appendicitis or certain cancers). Rates are directly age-standardised to the European Standard Population 2013. Regional breakdown uses the nine Government Office Regions of England.

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