What is actually happening with HPV Vaccination?

Is HPV Vaccination Protecting Britain's Young People?

The HPV vaccination programme is one of the most successful public health interventions in a generation. Cervical cancer incidence has fallen 53% since 2010, and the programme now covers boys as well as girls. But pandemic disruption left a gap that catch-up campaigns are still closing.

The UK introduced routine HPV vaccination for 12- to 13-year-old girls in 2008, with a catch-up programme for older teenagers. It was one of the first countries in the world to do so. The results have been remarkable: cervical cancer incidence among women aged 25 to 29 has fallen by more than half compared to pre-vaccination cohorts.[3] A landmark 2021 study in The Lancet confirmed that the vaccine had near-eliminated cervical cancer in women vaccinated in their early teens.[1] In September 2019, the programme was extended to boys, recognising that HPV causes cancers of the throat, mouth, and anus in men as well as cervical cancer in women. By 2024, 76.8% of boys were completing the vaccination course, up from 54.4% in the first year of the programme.[2]

COVID-19 dealt the programme a serious blow. School-based vaccination sessions were cancelled from March 2020, and catch-up proved difficult. Girls' uptake fell from a peak of 87.4% in 2015 to just 76.7% in 2020.[2] Recovery has been steady but slow: by 2024, uptake had climbed back to 84.1%, still short of the pre-pandemic high. London remains a persistent outlier, with uptake below 80% for girls and 70% for boys, driven by higher population mobility, greater school diversity, and lower consent form return rates. In September 2023, the UK followed World Health Organisation guidance and moved from a two-dose to a one-dose schedule, which should simplify delivery and improve completion rates, though it makes direct comparison with earlier years more difficult.

The broader picture is overwhelmingly positive. The WHO has set a target of 90% HPV vaccination coverage by 2030 as part of its global strategy to eliminate cervical cancer.[4] The UK is within striking distance but not there yet. The programme prevents an estimated 450 cancers and 150 deaths per year in England alone.[1,3] The remaining challenge is reaching the teenagers who slip through the school-based system: those who are absent on vaccination day, those whose parents do not return consent forms, and those who are not enrolled in mainstream education. Community catch-up clinics, pharmacy-based vaccination, and digital consent systems are all being trialled. The data says the vaccine works. The question now is whether the delivery system can match the science.

Girls completing HPV course

84.1%2024

Recovering from COVID low · peak was 87.4% in 2015

UKHSA — HPV Vaccination Coverage, 2024

View chart →

Boys completing HPV course

76.8%2024

Up from 54.4% in 2019 · programme started 2019

UKHSA — HPV Vaccination Coverage, 2024

View chart →

Cervical cancer incidence

5.8per 100k women

Down 53% since 2010 · vaccination effect now visible in cancer data

Cancer Research UK / ONS — Cervical Cancer Statistics, 2024

View chart →

HPV vaccination completion rate, girls and boys, England, 2010–2024

Percentage of Year 9 pupils completing the HPV vaccination course by end of academic year. Boys programme began 2019.

Source: UK Health Security Agency, HPV Vaccination Coverage in Adolescents in England, Nov 2025, Updated annual

Cervical cancer incidence, England, 2010–2024

Age-standardised rate per 100,000 women. The impact of HPV vaccination is now visible in cancer registry data.

Source: Cancer Research UK / ONS, Cervical Cancer Incidence Statistics, Nov 2025, Updated annual

HPV vaccination completion rate by region, 2024

Girls and boys completion rates by NHS England region. London is a persistent outlier.

Girls Boys

Source: UKHSA — HPV Vaccination Coverage in Adolescents in England, 2024

HPV vaccination is eliminating cervical cancer in vaccinated cohorts

87% reduction

A landmark 2021 study published in The Lancet found that cervical cancer rates among women vaccinated at age 12-13 were 87% lower than in unvaccinated cohorts. The researchers concluded that the HPV vaccination programme will have near-eliminated cervical cancer in vaccinated women born since September 1995. England's programme currently prevents an estimated 450 cancers and 150 deaths per year. The WHO has endorsed HPV vaccination as a key pillar of its global strategy to eliminate cervical cancer as a public health problem by 2030.

Source: The Lancet, 'Effect of HPV vaccination on cervical cancer in England', November 2021. WHO — Global Strategy to Accelerate the Elimination of Cervical Cancer, 2020.

  1. [1]The LancetEffect of HPV vaccination on cervical cancer in England, November 2021. Cervical cancer rates 87% lower in women vaccinated at age 12-13
  2. [2]UKHSAHPV Vaccination Coverage in Adolescents in England, 2024. Girls uptake 84.1%; boys 76.8%; London below 80% for girls
  3. [3]Cancer Research UK / ONSCervical Cancer Incidence Statistics, 2024. Cervical cancer incidence fell 53% since 2010
  4. [4]WHOGlobal Strategy to Accelerate the Elimination of Cervical Cancer, 2020. Target: 90% HPV vaccination coverage by 2030

Sources & Methodology

More in NHS & Healthcare